Covid-19 Best Case Scenario Assumption

Covid-19-v10.utf8.md

Date: 2020-05-01

By Rizami Annuar


Top 20 worldwide

Country

Cases

Deaths

Mortality rate (%)

USA

312,237

8,501

2.72

Spain

124,736

11,744

9.42

Italy

124,632

15,362

12.33

Germany

91,714

1,342

1.46

China

82,575

3,333

4.04

France

68,605

7,560

11.02

Iran

55,743

3,452

6.19

UK

41,903

4,313

10.29

Turkey

23,934

501

2.09

Switzerland

20,489

666

3.25

Belgium

18,431

1,283

6.96

Netherlands

16,627

1,651

9.93

Canada

13,882

231

1.66

Austria

11,766

186

1.58

Portugal

10,524

266

2.53

Brazil

10,278

432

4.20

South Korea

10,237

183

1.79

Israel

8,018

46

0.57

Sweden

6,443

373

5.79

Australia

5,687

34

0.60


Malaysia and UAE

Country

Cases

Deaths

Mortality rate (%)

Malaysia

3,662

61

1.67

UAE

1,505

10

0.66


Cases Cumulative

  • Best case scenario assumption: Zero Case and Death since 6 April 2020!

  • Left chart: Cumulative sum on vertical line and time-series on horizontal line.

  • Right chart: Daily count on vertical line and cumulative sum on horizontal line.

  • The blue line smoothing is based on local regression (loess) technique (reference).